Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.USD/CAD of USD/CAD once rose by 0.2%, hitting a four-and-a-half-year high of 1.4244.Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.
Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)China Institute of Building Research signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei, and China Institute of Building Research Co., Ltd. signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. According to the agreement, the two sides will deepen cooperation around the digital and intelligent transformation of the construction industry.Broadcom is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. Broadcom's share price rose by more than 20% at the beginning, and its total market value rose to 1.02 trillion US dollars, ranking ninth in the US stock market. After the close of the US Eastern Time on Thursday, Broadcom announced a better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial report. Not only did the profit performance be better than expected, but Broadcom's artificial intelligence revenue more than tripled this year. Broadcom's AI revenue increased by 220% to US$ 12.2 billion this year. It is estimated that the revenue of AI products will increase by 65% in the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025. The CEO of Broadcom revealed that he is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. It is estimated that each customer will deploy 1 million AI chips in 2027.
The institution is optimistic about these stocks today. On December 13th, as of press time, the institution gave 20 latest buy ratings, among which the target price of 9 stocks was announced:-Cobos was optimistic about UBS Securities, giving a target price of 62.00 yuan; -Yingqu Technology was favored by Guotai Junan with a target price of 19.25 yuan; -Yutong Bus, Jinkong Coal Industry, Dong 'e Ejiao and many other stocks are listed.Market News: Riot Blockchain(RIOT.O) acquired 5,117 bitcoins for $510 million.Analyst: Britain's economic contraction for the second consecutive month sounded the alarm. AJ Bell analyst Danni Hewson said in a report that one month's data can't tell the whole story, but when the British economy contracted for two consecutive months-just like September and October-it is worthy of attention. The last time the economy contracted for two consecutive months was during the first pandemic blockade in 2020. She said that the uncertainty before the government budget may lead individuals and businesses to avoid spending for fear of possible tax increases. Bars, restaurants and art industries were hit hard in October. Hewson said that such discretionary expenses can be easily cut. In addition, looking back over the past six months, except August, the economic activity in each month was flat or decreased.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14